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• Energy Modelling

• Modelling Papers

• Hydrogen Fuel
• Liquid Fuels from Lignite
• BCA: NZ Energy Strategy
• Alternative Liquid Fuels
• A Formula for LNG Pricing
• Emerging Energy Technologies
• Heavy Industry Energy Demand
• Greenhouse Gas Assumptions
• Supply Cost & Availability
• Oil Price Assumptions
• Review of Modelling Capability
• Seasonal Inflow Distributions
• Stakeholder Review

Energy modelling papers, including discussion documents, and commissioned consultant reports are available here to view electronically or download.

• Cost and Impacts of a Transition to Hydrogen Fuel in New Zealand  [ Published 07 May 2008 ]
  This report examines the economics of producing, transporting, and consuming hydrogen vehicle fuel in New Zealand, including greenhouse gas emissions and local environmental impacts. The report was prepared by CRL Energy.
• Liquid Fuels from Lignite  [ Published 14 January 2008 ]
  This report examines the economics of producing liquid fuels in New Zealand from lignite, including greenhouse gas emissions and environmental impacts. The report was prepared by CRL Energy.
• Benefit-Cost Analysis of the New Zealand Energy Strategy  [ Published 26 October 2007 ]
  This document is intended to provide a consistent quantitative assessment of the costs and benefits of the range of measures set out in the draft New Zealand Energy Strategy.
• Alternative Liquid Fuels  [ Published 11 May 2007 ]
  This paper examines the global costs, availability, and environmental impacts of alternative liquid fuels that might substitute for fuels made from conventional oil. These include unconventional oil, biofuels, and synthetic liquids from gas and coal.
• A Formula for LNG Pricing  [ Published 04 December 2006 ]
  This report explores the relationship between liquefied natural gas (LNG) prices and oil prices in the Pacific Basin, and suggests a formula relating the price of imported LNG in NZ to the price of oil. The report was prepared by consultant Gary Eng.
• Emerging Supply-Side Energy Technologies  [ Published 18 August 2006 ]
  This report examines discusses the likely costs and availability of thirteen emerging energy supply technologies in New Zealand. The report was prepared for the Ministry by PB Power.
• Heavy Industry Energy Demand  [ Published 18 August 2006 ]
  This report provides long-term projections of energy demand for six heavy industrial sectors in New Zealand: steel, aluminium, petrochemicals, oil refining, forest products and dairy. The report was prepared by Covec, Hale & Twomey, and Exergi Consulting.
• Greenhouse Gas Assumptions  [ Published 26 February 2006 ]
  This paper describes the assumptions that underlie the MED's greenhouse gas emission projections.
• Electricity Generation Supply Cost and Availability
  This set of reports provides estimates of the costs and availability of electricity generation from both fossil fuel and renewable sources. They were prepared by East Harbour Management Consultants.
• Oil Price Assumptions for Energy Outlook  [ Published 25 November 2005 ]
  This paper summarises evidence on the outlook for world crude oil prices, and proposes a set of assumptions for use in the New Zealand Energy Outlook.
• Review of MED Energy Modelling Capability
  This report summarizes a review of MED's Supply and Demand Equilibrium Model (SADEM) by Covec Consultants and Infometrics.
• Seasonal Inflow Distributions for New Zealand Hydroelectric Power Stations  [ Published 01 December 2004 ]
  This paper describes the statistical distributions used to model inflows into New Zealand's hydro reservoirs. It was prepared by NIWA.
• Stakeholder Review of MED Energy Modelling and Information: Final Report  [ Published 01 October 2004 ]
  This report summarises the views of stakeholders on current MED activities and options, and draws conclusions on the basis of these insights. It was prepared by Covec Consultants.