New Zealand Energy Outlook to 2020
February 2000
ISBN 0-478-23432-5
This publication presents and analyses supply and demand scenarios for New Zealand's energy sector to 2020. The central baseline scenario assumes 3% per annum GDP growth from 2003 (short term projections prior), sufficient gas discoveries to sustain reticulated demand and oil prices dipping to US$19 per barrel in 2002 before rising to US$22 per barrel in 2015 and stable thereafter. Alternative scenarios consider the effect of varying the GDP growth rate, the rate of new gas discoveries, the possible pricing of carbon and a range of other assumptions, allowing a series of possible outcomes to be analysed.
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