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Table of Contents

[ Last Updated 4 February 2006 ]
  • Foreword
  • Executive Summary
  • 1. Introduction
  • 2. The New Zealand Energy Sector in 2002
    • 2.1 Gas
    • 2.2 Oil
    • 2.3 Coal
    • 2.4 Renewable Energy
    • 2.5 Electricity
    • 2.6 Process Heat and Cogeneration
  • 3. Assumptions of the Reference and Alternative Scenarios
    • 3.1 The Reference Scenario
    • 3.2 Alternative Scenarios
  • 4. Projected Consumer Energy Demand (Reference)
    • 4.1 Consumer Energy by Sector
    • 4.2 Residential
    • 4.3 Transport
    • 4.4 Industrial and Commercial
    • 4.5 Total Consumer Energy Demand
  • 5. Projected Primary Energy Supply (Reference)
    • 5.1 Coal
    • 5.2 Oil
    • 5.3 Gas
    • 5.4 Renewables (Hydro, Geothermal, Biomass and Wind)
  • 6. Electricity Generation (Reference)
    • 7. Energy Prices (Reference)
    • 7.1 Wholesale Oil, Coal and Gas Prices
    • 7.2 Wholesale Electricity Prices
    • 7.3 Delivered Energy Prices
  • 8. Carbon Dioxide Emissions (Reference)
  • 9. Alternative Scenarios
    • 9.1 High GDP Scenario
    • 9.2 No New Gas Discoveries Scenario
    • 9.3 Alternative Oil Price Scenarios
    • 9.4 High Forestry Scenario
    • 9.5 Low Energy Efficiency Scenario
    • 9.6 Continued Market Participation by Methanex
  • 10. Baseline 2002 (Excluding Higher Energy Efficiency Uptake and Carbon Charge)
    • 10.1 Consumer Energy Demand
    • 10.2 Primary Energy and Electricity Supply
    • 10.3 Energy Prices
    • 10.4 Carbon Dioxide Emissions
  • 11. Government Policy Goals
    • 11.1 Energy Efficiency
    • 11.2 CO2 Emissions
    • 11.3 Renewables Uptake
  • 12. Additional Topics
    • 12.1 Comparison of the 2003 and 2000 Energy Outlooks
    • 12.2 Review of Previous Energy Projections
    • 12.3 Price and Income Elasticities
  • 13. Appendix
  • 13.1 The SADEM Model
    • 13.2 Demand Modelling
    • 13.3 Electricity Simulation Model
    • 13.4 CO2 Emission Modelling
  • List of Tables
  • List of Figures
  • Glossary
  • References
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