Previous Editions
[ Last Updated 11 January 2006 ]
New Zealand Energy Outlook to 2025
October 2003
The New Zealand Energy Outlook to 2025 publication presents and analyses supply and demand scenarios for New Zealand's energy sector to 2025. A range of scenarios considers the effects of different GDP growth rates and other assumptions related to gas discovery rates, oil prices etc. on possible energy outcomes.
M. Taylor and G. Eng
ISBN 0-478-26327-9
New Zealand Energy Outlook to 2020
February 2000
This publication presents and analyses supply and demand scenarios for New Zealand's energy sector to 2020. The central baseline scenario assumes 3% per annum GDP growth from 2003 (short term projections prior), sufficient gas discoveries to sustain reticulated demand and oil prices dipping to US$19 per barrel in 2002 before rising to US$22 per barrel in 2015 and stable thereafter. Alternative scenarios consider the effect of varying the GDP growth rate, the rate of new gas discoveries, the possible pricing of carbon and a range of other assumptions, allowing a series of possible outcomes to be analysed.
M. Taylor and G. Eng
ISBN 0-478-23432-5
Energy Outlook
February 1997
This publication presents and analyses supply and demand scenarios for New Zealand's energy sector to 2020. The central baseline scenario assumes 3% per annum GDP growth, sufficient gas discoveries to sustain reticulated demand and oil prices rising to US$25 per barrel by 2005 and stable thereafter. Alternative scenarios consider the effect of varying GDP growth rate and some other assumptions, allowing a range of possible outcomes to be analysed.
G. Eng and M. Taylor
ISBN 0-478-00382-X
Energy Supply and Demand Scenarios to 2020
This predecessor publication to the Energy Outlook February 1997 presents and analyses scenarios for New Zealand’s energy sector. The central baseline scenario assumes 3% per annum GDP growth, a 0.5% per annum improvement in energy efficiency over and above the historical rate of uptake, modest new gas discoveries and oil prices rising to US$30 per barrel by 2005 and stable thereafter. Alternative scenarios consider the effect of varying these and other assumptions, allowing a range of possible outcomes to be analysed.
Published in July 1994. Ellis J, Jollands N, Mayes K, O’Meara P, Mitchell L, Otang B and Taylor M with Culy J and Gale S. ISBN 0-478-00246-7.
An Energy Baseline Forecast to 2020
This publication covers presents and analyses supply and demand interactions in the energy sector to 2020 and introduces supply side information on the costs and availabilities of different fuels. The publication focuses on a baseline forecast that assumes the continuation of recent changes in technological improvement and consumer preferences and a continuation of current policies. A range of sensitivity testing is undertaken.
September 1992. Ellis J, Howard A, Mayes K, O’Meara P, Otang B and Tan L with Culy J and Gale S. ISBN 0-478-00206-8, price $22.50.
Energy Demand Forecasts: Some Initial Results
This publication presents early results of energy sector modelling and forecasting. Included is an initial assessment of the use of a carbon charge to meet CO2 emission goals.
August 1991. Ellis J, Howard A, Mayes K, Otang B, Tan L with Clough P, Culy J and Gale S. ISBN 0-478-00466-4, price $22.50.
The Prospects For Energy Modelling
Volume I - Review and Recommendations
Volume II - A Review of Modelling Techniques
March 1991. Culy J, Gale J and Read G. ISBN 0-478-00456-7, price $22.50 per volume.
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