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Table of Contents
[ Last Updated 10 January 2006 ]
| Executive Summary | iv |
| List of Tables | vi |
| List of Figures | vii |
| Glossary | viii |
| Introduction | 1 |
| The Current New Zealand Energy Sector | 2 |
| Gas | 3 |
| Oil | 4 |
| Coal | 4 |
| Renewables | 4 |
| Electricity | 5 |
| The Baseline Scenario | 6 |
| Projected Consumer Energy Growth | 9 |
| Consumer Energy by Sector | 9 |
| Transport | 11 |
| Total Industrial and Commercial | 12 |
| Forestry | 14 |
| Basic Metals | 15 |
| Petrochemicals | 15 |
| Other Industrial and Commercial | 16 |
| Residential | 17 |
| Consumer Energy Fuel Shares | 18 |
| Projected Growth in Primary Energy Supply | 20 |
| Gas | 21 |
| Coal | 22 |
| Oil | 23 |
| Hydro and Geothermal | 24 |
| Electricity Generation | 24 |
| Electricity Prices | 26 |
| Long Run Uncertainties | 28 |
| Non-Traditional Renewable Energy Prospects | 28 |
| CO2 Emissions | 30 |
| Impact of Alternative GDP Scenarios | 32 |
| Consumer Energy | 32 |
| Power System Requirements | 34 |
| Impact of Alternative Forestry Processing Scenario. | 34 |
| Impact of Varying Other Assumptions | 35 |
| Oil Prices | 35 |
| Gas Discoveries and Prices | 35 |
| Economy-Energy Relationships | 35 |
| Energy Intensity | 35 |
| Price and Income Elasticities | 37 |
| GDP Growth and Electricity Demand Growth | 38 |
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