5. Capacity Requirements
At present there is little reliable data as to the likely usage of the TRS.
The number of people who cannot use the standard telephone is difficult to assess. The Fitzgerald Report suggests the number may be anywhere from 14,000 to 70,000. However, Ministry of Health (MOH) officials estimate the number of people in the affected population who cannot use standard telephone services to be around 7,00017.
Figure 1 (see Section 9 Appendix- International usage of relay services) presents data comparing relay service usage in various countries. It is expected that usage of the TRS in New Zealand will fall within the bounds of international usage. Table 2 indicates the likely outer bounds of usage of the TRS based on the international data. Realistically, if the actual usage level were to approach the high usage level, it would take a number of years to do so.
The provider of the TRS will need to be able to scale the service to meet actual demand.
| | Average monthly calls18 | Annual calls | Notes |
| Projected high usage | 38,307 | 459,684 | Based on US usage: 10.25 calls/1,000 inhabitants after 15 years |
| Projected medium usage | 10,165 | 121,980 | Based on Australian usage: 2.72 calls/1,000 inhabitants after 7 years |
| Projected low usage | 187 | 2,244 | Based on Czech Republic usage: 0.05 calls/1,000 inhabitants after 4 years |
Table 2 Forecast range of possible usage level of TRS
Factors, which may influence usage in New Zealand, include:
- No charge for residential local calling (as in the USA) resulting in higher adoption rates.
- No charge for residential local calling resulting in longer call durations than in other countries.
- Increasing usage of Short Message Service messaging via mobile phones, which based on experience from the Australian National Relay Service19, may reduce expected TRS usage.
- Increasing use of email and instant messaging may have some impact on TRS uptake. Experience from the Australian National Relay Service20 suggests the impact may be less than that of Short Message Service use.
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