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Modelling
The Ministry’s energy modelling work programme produces projections of future energy supply, demand, prices and emissions. This work provides the background that policymakers, potential investors, stakeholders, and all New Zealanders need to understand the energy issues facing New Zealand.
When decisions are made in the energy industry, they tend to have a long-lasting impact. A plant, a well, or a mine developed today is likely to operate for several decades. In the same way the environmental impact of the decisions we make on energy – such as climate change – will play out over many decades.
As a result the Ministry’s core modelling publication, New Zealand’s Energy Outlook takes a long term view, currently focusing at the year 2030.
For further information on the Energy Outlook, and other core energy modelling releases (including the new Electricity Demand and Generation Scenarios) please follow the links below. See Technical papers for information on the Ministry’s energy modelling approach and papers that inform work undertaken by the Energy Information and Modelling Team.
New Zealand's Energy Outlook
The Energy Outlook is the Ministry’s core energy modelling publication. It presents projections of New Zealand’s future energy supply, demand, prices and greenhouse gas emissions. It is intended to inform the energy debate.
Electricity demand and generation scenarios
Independent demand and generation scenarios are a key reference point for preparing and assessing major grid investment proposals by Transpower. Transpower will be required to use the 2012 EDGS when developing major capital expenditure proposals.
Energy sector emissions under the Kyoto Protocol
The Ministry publishes actual and projected energy sector emissions for the first commitment period under the Kyoto Protocol (2008 to 2012).
Government coordination
The Ministry is lead agency to maintain and evolve a coordinated, whole-of-government strategy on energy information, analysis and modelling.
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